Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 3:02 AM to 3:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 3:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -9.03162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.98-21.42-7.855Sep 29, 3:02 AM ET3:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.98-21.42-7.855Sep 29, 3:02 AM ET3:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:02 AM ET-9.03162
Projected value at 3:31 AM ET-6.0337
Actual value at 3:31 AM ET-7.52721
Projected change across the window+2.99792
Actual change across the window+1.50441
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (3:15 AM ET), where they sat 1.36965 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (3:08 AM ET) with a gap of 20.4161. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:04 AM ET), a move of -6.40221. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:03 AM-9.71179-13.5221-3.81027
63:08 AM-16.3824-36.7985-20.4161
123:14 AM-15.0413-16.5846-1.54326
183:20 AM-12.8879-20.3368-7.44891
243:26 AM-9.69892-19.6346-9.93564
293:31 AM-6.0337-7.52721-1.4935

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.