Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 2:50 AM to 3:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 2:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.5846. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.571.27421.11Sep 29, 2:50 AM ET3:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.571.27421.11Sep 29, 2:50 AM ET3:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:50 AM ET-16.5846
Projected value at 3:19 AM ET9.43095
Actual value at 3:19 AM ET19.3772
Projected change across the window+26.0155
Actual change across the window+35.9618
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (3:15 AM ET), where they sat 0.712638 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:55 AM ET) with a gap of 40.9436. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (3:06 AM ET), a move of +5.52941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:51 AM22.0593-15.9794-38.0387
62:56 AM19.159-20.3368-39.4958
123:02 AM13.4644-19.6346-33.099
183:08 AM13.1335-2.77574-15.9093
243:14 AM13.712411.4529-2.25943
293:19 AM9.4309519.3772+9.94626

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.