Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 1:34 AM to 2:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 1:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.45294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.43-17.812.81Sep 29, 1:34 AM ET2:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.43-17.812.81Sep 29, 1:34 AM ET2:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:34 AM ET5.45294
Projected value at 2:03 AM ET-8.77333
Actual value at 2:03 AM ET-10.6544
Projected change across the window-14.2263
Actual change across the window-16.1074
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (1:46 AM ET), where they sat 1.48023 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:37 AM ET) with a gap of 40.3693. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (1:46 AM ET), a move of -6.60074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:35 AM-32.59665.57941+38.176
61:40 AM-38.9215-10.175+28.7465
121:46 AM-33.6904-35.1706-1.48023
181:52 AM-26.129-30.9757-4.84675
241:58 AM-16.1744-19.9162-3.74177
292:03 AM-8.77333-10.6544-1.88108

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.