Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 12:41 AM to 1:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 12:41 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.76985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.63-21.18-2.739Sep 29, 12:41 AM ET1:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.63-21.18-2.739Sep 29, 12:41 AM ET1:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:41 AM ET-2.76985
Projected value at 1:10 AM ET-5.34101
Actual value at 1:10 AM ET-0.261765
Projected change across the window-2.57116
Actual change across the window+2.50809
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (1:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.0549677 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (12:55 AM ET) with a gap of 31.6706. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (1:05 AM ET), a move of +8.01176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:42 AM-8.84903-2.30074+6.5483
612:47 AM-12.8915-18.0397-5.14824
1212:53 AM-11.6966-37.3684-25.6718
1812:59 AM-8.41851-33.5772-25.1587
241:05 AM-6.5594-15.2625-8.7031
291:10 AM-5.34101-0.261765+5.07925

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.