Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 12:36 AM to 1:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 12:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.4059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.47-19.89-0.3099Sep 29, 12:36 AM ET1:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.47-19.89-0.3099Sep 29, 12:36 AM ET1:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:36 AM ET-10.4059
Projected value at 1:05 AM ET-3.64941
Actual value at 1:05 AM ET-3.43015
Projected change across the window+6.75647
Actual change across the window+6.97574
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:05 AM ET), where they sat 0.219267 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (12:45 AM ET) with a gap of 30.6734. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (12:55 AM ET), a move of +8.01176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:37 AM-7.41362-18.0397-10.6261
612:42 AM-11.7718-34.2419-22.4702
1212:48 AM-10.6308-35.3794-24.7486
1812:54 AM-8.87958-23.2743-14.3947
241:00 AM-6.19064-0.261765+5.92887
291:05 AM-3.64941-3.43015+0.219267

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.