Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 12:31 AM to 1:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 12:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -33.0257. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.47-19.89-0.3099Sep 29, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.47-19.89-0.3099Sep 29, 12:31 AM ET1:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 AM ET-33.0257
Projected value at 1:00 AM ET-0.721566
Actual value at 1:00 AM ET-5.83015
Projected change across the window+32.3042
Actual change across the window+27.1956
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (12:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.70133 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (12:35 AM ET) with a gap of 34.2878. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:45 AM ET), a move of +8.01176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 AM-5.46637-34.2419-28.7755
612:37 AM-7.29832-37.6993-30.4009
1212:43 AM-6.13715-30.3279-24.1908
1812:49 AM-5.06155-1.53529+3.52626
2412:55 AM-2.69448-3.43015-0.735668
291:00 AM-0.721566-5.83015-5.10858

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.