Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:33 PM to 12:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 11:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.89338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.3535.89313.14Sep 28, 11:33 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.3535.89313.14Sep 28, 11:33 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 PM ET3.89338
Projected value at 12:02 AM ET0.265814
Actual value at 12:02 AM ET-1.2875
Projected change across the window-3.62757
Actual change across the window-5.18088
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:01 AM ET), where they sat 1.52921 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:33 PM ET) with a gap of 9.67389. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:44 PM ET), a move of -2.15368. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 PM12.97775.62868-7.34905
611:39 PM12.52928.36029-4.16891
1211:45 PM8.787690.919853-7.86784
1811:51 PM2.16695-2.32574-4.49268
2411:57 PM0.330671-1.48603-1.8167
2912:02 AM0.265814-1.2875-1.55331

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.