Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:54 PM to 11:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.68824. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.27-11.4813.31Sep 28, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.27-11.4813.31Sep 28, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:54 PM ET2.68824
Projected value at 11:23 PM ET-8.72935
Actual value at 11:23 PM ET16.6375
Projected change across the window-11.4176
Actual change across the window+13.9493
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:14 PM ET), where they sat 22.7958 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:56 PM ET) with a gap of 40.4091. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (11:17 PM ET), a move of +2.08088. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:55 PM-36.07782.37279+38.4506
611:00 PM-36.6581-1.21618+35.4419
1211:06 PM-28.05351.25221+29.3057
1811:12 PM-21.75921.34044+23.0996
2411:18 PM-14.784210.9529+25.7372
2911:23 PM-8.7293516.6375+25.3669

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.