Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:08 PM to 10:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.1507. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.04-2.36111.31Sep 28, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.04-2.36111.31Sep 28, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:08 PM ET13.1507
Projected value at 10:37 PM ET-6.44206
Actual value at 10:37 PM ET-1.33235
Projected change across the window-19.5928
Actual change across the window-14.4831
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.459636 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (10:15 PM ET) with a gap of 22.8505. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:09 PM ET), a move of -7.74632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:09 PM-13.49025.40441+18.8946
610:14 PM-17.46034.46618+21.9265
1210:20 PM-13.7274-10.8794+2.84795
1810:26 PM-11.064-10.6044+0.459636
2410:32 PM-7.92728-3.05074+4.87655
2910:37 PM-6.44206-1.33235+5.10971

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.