Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:51 PM to 8:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.08456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.45-7.1447.163Sep 28, 7:51 PM ET8:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.45-7.1447.163Sep 28, 7:51 PM ET8:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:51 PM ET9.08456
Projected value at 8:20 PM ET-2.9136
Actual value at 8:20 PM ET-3.48897
Projected change across the window-11.9982
Actual change across the window-12.5735
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (8:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.0202377 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:52 PM ET) with a gap of 30.5361. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (7:58 PM ET), a move of -7.12059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:52 PM-22.81927.71691+30.5361
67:57 PM-22.9413-6.10441+16.8369
128:03 PM-18.5891-16.8397+1.74943
188:09 PM-13.4472-12.8015+0.645689
248:15 PM-6.92689-9.70147-2.77458
298:20 PM-2.9136-3.48897-0.575373

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.