Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:38 PM to 8:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.8397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.35-4.2356.877Sep 28, 7:38 PM ET8:07 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.35-4.2356.877Sep 28, 7:38 PM ET8:07 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:38 PM ET-16.8397
Projected value at 8:07 PM ET-0.213154
Actual value at 8:07 PM ET3.31985
Projected change across the window+16.6266
Actual change across the window+20.1596
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (7:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.408982 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:38 PM ET) with a gap of 13.8042. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (7:58 PM ET), a move of +3.42353. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:39 PM-3.4142-13.5066-10.0924
67:44 PM-4.20603-12.8015-8.59544
127:50 PM-4.4392-9.70147-5.26227
187:56 PM-3.88739-2.29265+1.59474
248:02 PM-1.918098.09265+10.0107
298:07 PM-0.2131543.31985+3.53301

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.