Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:26 PM to 7:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.66324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.4921.2329.956Sep 28, 7:26 PM ET7:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.4921.2329.956Sep 28, 7:26 PM ET7:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:26 PM ET-8.66324
Projected value at 7:55 PM ET2.59389
Actual value at 7:55 PM ET-1.25221
Projected change across the window+11.2571
Actual change across the window+7.41103
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.52 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (7:45 PM ET), where they sat 1.82273 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:27 PM ET) with a gap of 18.0945. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (7:47 PM ET), a move of -5.08897. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:27 PM10.1209-7.97353-18.0945
67:32 PM10.8970.611765-10.2852
127:38 PM9.947097.12574-2.82136
187:44 PM7.304974.68676-2.6182
247:50 PM4.27898-6.75221-11.0312
297:55 PM2.59389-1.25221-3.84609

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.