Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 4:18 PM to 4:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 28, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 42.1676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.84915.0538.96Sep 28, 4:18 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.84915.0538.96Sep 28, 4:18 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:18 PM ET42.1676
Projected value at 4:47 PM ET-6.18955
Actual value at 4:47 PM ET-1.36397
Projected change across the window-48.3572
Actual change across the window-43.5316
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:47 PM ET), where they sat 4.82557 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:18 PM ET) with a gap of 46.2741. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (4:20 PM ET), a move of -8.80515. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:19 PM-5.2513335.1301+40.3815
64:24 PM-9.090721.5971+30.6878
124:30 PM-11.87410.2669+22.1409
184:36 PM-9.8888421.6537+31.5425
244:42 PM-7.65125.00147+12.6527
294:47 PM-6.18955-1.36397+4.82557

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.