Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:17 AM to 10:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.3588. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-58.41-22.313.8Sep 28, 10:17 AM ET10:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-58.41-22.313.8Sep 28, 10:17 AM ET10:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:17 AM ET-17.3588
Projected value at 10:46 AM ET16.2845
Actual value at 10:46 AM ET18.6529
Projected change across the window+33.6433
Actual change across the window+36.0118
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:35 AM ET), where they sat 0.223153 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:17 AM ET) with a gap of 45.8993. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (10:26 AM ET), a move of +7.36691. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:18 AM-55.9961-18.5544+37.4417
610:23 AM-29.3766-20.5096+8.86708
1210:29 AM-13.469410.2765+23.7459
1810:35 AM4.775364.55221-0.223153
2410:41 AM16.714215.3162-1.39798
2910:46 AM16.284518.6529+2.36846

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.