Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:59 AM to 8:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:59 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.6022. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.490.790815.07Sep 28, 7:59 AM ET8:28 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:59 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.490.790815.07Sep 28, 7:59 AM ET8:28 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:59 AM ET12.6022
Projected value at 8:28 AM ET-4.81873
Actual value at 8:28 AM ET-15.4088
Projected change across the window-17.4209
Actual change across the window-28.011
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (8:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.201958 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:01 AM ET) with a gap of 17.6558. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (8:11 AM ET), a move of -5.9625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:00 AM0.21569516.9904+16.7747
68:05 AM-4.269538.51103+12.7806
128:11 AM-4.6891-7.59191-2.90281
188:17 AM-4.41317-5.91544-1.50227
248:23 AM-4.70994-8.71324-4.00329
298:28 AM-4.81873-15.4088-10.5901

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.