Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:29 AM to 6:58 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 6:29 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.7265. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:58 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.56-12.0212.53Sep 28, 6:29 AM ET6:58 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:29 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.56-12.0212.53Sep 28, 6:29 AM ET6:58 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:29 AM ET-38.7265
Projected value at 6:58 AM ET2.66388
Actual value at 6:58 AM ET4.10662
Projected change across the window+41.3904
Actual change across the window+42.8331
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (6:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.245114 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (6:36 AM ET) with a gap of 30.6852. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (6:44 AM ET), a move of +7.94779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:30 AM-10.2449-39.8596-29.6146
66:35 AM-6.05844-35.4213-29.3629
126:41 AM0.314503-18.4912-18.8057
186:47 AM0.90037915.8213+14.9209
246:53 AM2.17548-3.51176-5.68725
296:58 AM2.663884.10662+1.44274

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.