Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:28 AM to 6:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 6:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -39.8596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.56-12.0212.53Sep 28, 6:28 AM ET6:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.56-12.0212.53Sep 28, 6:28 AM ET6:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:28 AM ET-39.8596
Projected value at 6:57 AM ET3.42102
Actual value at 6:57 AM ET1.03088
Projected change across the window+43.2806
Actual change across the window+40.8904
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.391636 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:28 AM ET) with a gap of 29.7301. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (6:42 AM ET), a move of +7.94779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:29 AM-10.1752-39.2294-29.0542
66:34 AM-7.3229-35.3757-28.0528
126:40 AM-0.650154-11.7081-11.0579
186:46 AM0.46078713.0441+12.5833
246:52 AM2.76371-1.30882-4.07253
296:57 AM3.421021.03088-2.39013

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.