Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:27 AM to 6:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 6:27 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.1794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.98-11.1812.62Sep 28, 6:27 AM ET6:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.98-11.1812.62Sep 28, 6:27 AM ET6:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:27 AM ET-38.1794
Projected value at 6:56 AM ET2.9407
Actual value at 6:56 AM ET-5.53824
Projected change across the window+41.1201
Actual change across the window+32.6412
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.26×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.26 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (6:45 AM ET), where they sat 0.805552 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (6:31 AM ET) with a gap of 31.5166. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:39 AM ET), a move of +7.94779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:28 AM-7.06054-36.4949-29.4343
66:33 AM-3.07084-31.5243-28.4534
126:39 AM2.408394.1+1.69161
186:45 AM2.688641.88309-0.805552
246:51 AM2.754755.01985+2.26511
296:56 AM2.9407-5.53824-8.47894

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.