Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:26 AM to 6:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 6:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.1794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.98-11.1812.62Sep 28, 6:26 AM ET6:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.98-11.1812.62Sep 28, 6:26 AM ET6:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:26 AM ET-38.1794
Projected value at 6:55 AM ET0.791351
Actual value at 6:55 AM ET-5.53824
Projected change across the window+38.9708
Actual change across the window+32.6412
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:53 AM ET), where they sat 0.205935 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:26 AM ET) with a gap of 29.8831. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:38 AM ET), a move of +7.94779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:27 AM-8.18771-36.4949-28.3071
66:32 AM-4.59509-31.5243-26.9292
126:38 AM0.3380434.1+3.76196
186:44 AM2.129811.88309-0.246727
246:50 AM1.762675.01985+3.25719
296:55 AM0.791351-5.53824-6.32959

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.