Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 3:40 AM to 4:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 3:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.2596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.96-8.2223.511Sep 28, 3:40 AM ET4:09 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.96-8.2223.511Sep 28, 3:40 AM ET4:09 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:40 AM ET-18.2596
Projected value at 4:09 AM ET4.53225
Actual value at 4:09 AM ET5.08676
Projected change across the window+22.7918
Actual change across the window+23.3463
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (4:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.0704933 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (3:49 AM ET) with a gap of 16.8715. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (4:06 AM ET), a move of +3.08088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:41 AM-9.22639-20.1794-10.953
63:46 AM-1.93593-17.3721-15.4361
123:52 AM1.50407-11.4684-12.9725
183:58 AM3.93718-9.56397-13.5011
244:04 AM3.32055-2.73015-6.0507
294:09 AM4.532255.08676+0.554512

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.