Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 3:36 AM to 4:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 3:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.4169. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.97-7.1653.636Sep 28, 3:36 AM ET4:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.97-7.1653.636Sep 28, 3:36 AM ET4:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:36 AM ET-19.4169
Projected value at 4:05 AM ET4.14867
Actual value at 4:05 AM ET-1.43603
Projected change across the window+23.5656
Actual change across the window+17.9809
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.31×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.31 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (3:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.00824467 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (3:41 AM ET) with a gap of 14.1762. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (3:58 AM ET), a move of +3.08088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:37 AM-7.28242-17.8331-10.5507
63:42 AM-1.12095-14.8162-13.6952
123:48 AM2.10384-9.53897-11.6428
183:54 AM2.89026-7.20074-10.091
244:00 AM3.715453.16691-0.548538
294:05 AM4.14867-1.43603-5.5847

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.