Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 3:35 AM to 4:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 3:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.8331. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.48-6.3733.73Sep 28, 3:35 AM ET4:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.48-6.3733.73Sep 28, 3:35 AM ET4:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:35 AM ET-17.8331
Projected value at 4:04 AM ET2.29574
Actual value at 4:04 AM ET-4.53309
Projected change across the window+20.1288
Actual change across the window+13.3
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.51 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (3:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.452157 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (3:39 AM ET) with a gap of 11.8246. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (4:04 AM ET), a move of -3.09706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:36 AM-9.35937-17.3721-8.01269
63:41 AM-2.6214-13.3022-10.6808
123:47 AM1.12888-9.12206-10.2509
183:53 AM1.74551-4.12794-5.87345
243:59 AM2.726585.08676+2.36019
294:04 AM2.29574-4.53309-6.82882

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.