Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 3:25 AM to 3:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 3:25 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.1757. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.69-8.6133.465Sep 28, 3:25 AM ET3:54 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.69-8.6133.465Sep 28, 3:25 AM ET3:54 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:25 AM ET-11.1757
Projected value at 3:54 AM ET1.56433
Actual value at 3:54 AM ET-18.9596
Projected change across the window+12.7401
Actual change across the window-7.78382
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.64 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (3:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.562047 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (3:52 AM ET) with a gap of 24.2798. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (3:51 AM ET), a move of -5.225. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:26 AM-9.77987-10.3419-0.562047
63:31 AM-3.78777-8.41029-4.62253
123:37 AM0.5188082.59191+2.0731
183:43 AM2.721821.32647-1.39535
243:49 AM2.60884-10.5816-13.1905
293:54 AM1.56433-18.9596-20.5239

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.