Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:52 AM to 2:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -31.1956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.59-9.21710.16Sep 28, 1:52 AM ET2:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.59-9.21710.16Sep 28, 1:52 AM ET2:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:52 AM ET-31.1956
Projected value at 2:21 AM ET-1.81546
Actual value at 2:21 AM ET-14.5176
Projected change across the window+29.3801
Actual change across the window+16.6779
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.76 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (1:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.736622 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:52 AM ET) with a gap of 25.2339. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (1:58 AM ET), a move of +5.79779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:53 AM-6.01511-28.6081-22.593
61:58 AM-8.15676-8.89338-0.736622
122:04 AM-4.563865.75956+10.3234
182:10 AM-2.6259212.6132+15.2392
242:16 AM-1.22317-4.55-3.32683
292:21 AM-1.81546-14.5176-12.7022

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.