Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:15 AM to 12:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 28, 2026 at 12:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 35.0301. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.57915.0438.65Sep 28, 12:15 AM ET12:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.57915.0438.65Sep 28, 12:15 AM ET12:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:15 AM ET35.0301
Projected value at 12:44 AM ET-11.7503
Actual value at 12:44 AM ET2.58015
Projected change across the window-46.7804
Actual change across the window-32.45
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:34 AM ET), where they sat 13.4209 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:26 AM ET) with a gap of 34.5272. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:44 AM ET), a move of -5.31912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:16 AM15.850836.5029+20.6522
612:21 AM10.694835.6654+24.9706
1212:27 AM4.8026538.0706+33.2679
1812:33 AM-1.0216812.9434+13.9651
2412:39 AM-7.7963521.6331+29.4294
2912:44 AM-11.75032.58015+14.3304

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.