Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:15 AM to 12:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.0301. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.57915.0438.65Sep 28, 12:15 AM ET12:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.57915.0438.65Sep 28, 12:15 AM ET12:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:15 AM ET35.0301
Projected value at 12:44 AM ET-11.7503
Actual value at 12:44 AM ET2.58015
Projected change across the window-46.7804
Actual change across the window-32.45
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:34 AM ET), where they sat 13.4209 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:26 AM ET) with a gap of 34.5272. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:44 AM ET), a move of -5.31912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:16 AM15.850836.5029+20.6522
612:21 AM10.694835.6654+24.9706
1212:27 AM4.8026538.0706+33.2679
1812:33 AM-1.0216812.9434+13.9651
2412:39 AM-7.7963521.6331+29.4294
2912:44 AM-11.75032.58015+14.3304

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.