Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:13 AM to 12:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.5206. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.31414.6538.6Sep 28, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.31414.6538.6Sep 28, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:13 AM ET37.5206
Projected value at 12:42 AM ET-12.5312
Actual value at 12:42 AM ET-3.95221
Projected change across the window-50.0518
Actual change across the window-41.4728
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.21×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.21 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:42 AM ET), where they sat 8.57901 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (12:21 AM ET) with a gap of 36.6138. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:40 AM ET), a move of -5.31912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:14 AM12.554536.3397+23.7852
612:19 AM6.8245837.1985+30.374
1212:25 AM3.1251628.9691+25.844
1812:31 AM-1.9380510.8632+12.8013
2412:37 AM-7.1303617.1581+24.2885
2912:42 AM-12.5312-3.95221+8.57901

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.