Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:12 AM to 12:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 36.3397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.90914.8638.63Sep 28, 12:12 AM ET12:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.90914.8638.63Sep 28, 12:12 AM ET12:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:12 AM ET36.3397
Projected value at 12:41 AM ET-12.101
Actual value at 12:41 AM ET-4.7375
Projected change across the window-48.4407
Actual change across the window-41.0772
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:40 AM ET), where they sat 7.29595 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (12:19 AM ET) with a gap of 38.3246. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (12:38 AM ET), a move of -5.31912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:13 AM8.8855935.2154+26.3299
612:18 AM4.4195339.8551+35.4356
1212:24 AM1.0788123.736+22.6572
1812:30 AM-2.2587413.2147+15.4734
2412:36 AM-7.6916113.2007+20.8923
2912:41 AM-12.101-4.7375+7.36354

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.