Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:55 PM to 12:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 11:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.8632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.1768.44820.07Sep 27, 11:55 PM ET12:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.1768.44820.07Sep 27, 11:55 PM ET12:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:55 PM ET10.8632
Projected value at 12:24 AM ET1.64797
Actual value at 12:24 AM ET16.3787
Projected change across the window-9.21527
Actual change across the window+5.51544
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.67 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (12:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.154891 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (11:59 PM ET) with a gap of 15.2741. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (12:04 AM ET), a move of -5.31912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:56 PM2.0645113.2147+11.1502
612:01 AM6.0732717.1581+11.0848
1212:07 AM5.21114-4.7375-9.94864
1812:13 AM2.5814-2.43897-5.02037
2412:19 AM0.7051779.57941+8.87423
2912:24 AM1.6479716.3787+14.7307

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.