Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:54 PM to 11:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.6765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.49-17.49-0.4889Sep 27, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.49-17.49-0.4889Sep 27, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:54 PM ET-18.6765
Projected value at 11:23 PM ET0.747392
Actual value at 11:23 PM ET-36.7765
Projected change across the window+19.4239
Actual change across the window-18.1
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (10:54 PM ET), where they sat 4.68519 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:23 PM ET) with a gap of 37.5239. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (11:22 PM ET), a move of -7.29118. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:55 PM-11.8786-17.9375-6.05894
611:00 PM-6.81133-12.225-5.41367
1211:06 PM-2.55932-13.6559-11.0966
1811:12 PM-0.196813-19.4051-19.2083
2411:18 PM1.41809-11.4831-12.9012
2911:23 PM0.747392-36.7765-37.5239

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.