Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -46.2228. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-54.16-22.429.32Sep 27, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-54.16-22.429.32Sep 27, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET-46.2228
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET3.86565
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET13.5824
Projected change across the window+50.0884
Actual change across the window+59.8051
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.0998421 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (10:15 PM ET) with a gap of 48.4962. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (10:18 PM ET), a move of +15.1309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM-25.129-46.9941-21.8651
610:16 PM-7.78167-55.7375-47.9558
1210:22 PM-0.5847055.42132+6.00603
1810:28 PM2.8815611.4368+8.5552
2410:34 PM4.6348312.8669+8.23208
2910:39 PM3.8656513.5824+9.7167

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.