Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:08 PM to 10:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -49.7081. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-54.01-21.1511.71Sep 27, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-54.01-21.1511.71Sep 27, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:08 PM ET-49.7081
Projected value at 10:37 PM ET-2.91056
Actual value at 10:37 PM ET16.1191
Projected change across the window+46.7975
Actual change across the window+65.8272
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (10:14 PM ET), where they sat 3.91521 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (10:17 PM ET) with a gap of 28.8704. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:14 PM ET), a move of +15.1309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:09 PM-36.9754-54.1676-17.1923
610:14 PM-30.8556-26.9404+3.91521
1210:20 PM-18.72498.08529+26.8101
1810:26 PM-11.497312.2066+23.7039
2410:32 PM-5.1603412.0743+17.2346
2910:37 PM-2.9105616.1191+19.0297

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.