Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:07 PM to 10:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -54.1676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-53.99-20.9512.09Sep 27, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-53.99-20.9512.09Sep 27, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:07 PM ET-54.1676
Projected value at 10:36 PM ET4.8848
Actual value at 10:36 PM ET16.5257
Projected change across the window+59.0525
Actual change across the window+70.6934
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (10:12 PM ET), where they sat 3.31016 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:09 PM ET) with a gap of 27.4025. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:12 PM ET), a move of +15.1309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:08 PM-33.5059-57.8801-24.3742
610:13 PM-20.9993-13.2588+7.74047
1210:19 PM-8.856069.65882+18.5149
1810:25 PM-1.8431713.0154+14.8586
2410:31 PM2.9854312.3485+9.36309
2910:36 PM4.884816.5257+11.6409

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.