Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:05 PM to 10:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -58.4228. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-53.98-20.9312.13Sep 27, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-53.98-20.9312.13Sep 27, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:05 PM ET-58.4228
Projected value at 10:34 PM ET4.02826
Actual value at 10:34 PM ET16.0574
Projected change across the window+62.4511
Actual change across the window+74.4801
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (10:08 PM ET), where they sat 3.04996 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (10:11 PM ET) with a gap of 27.2707. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (10:08 PM ET), a move of +15.1309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:06 PM-35.0418-55.7375-20.6957
610:11 PM-22.20095.06985+27.2707
1210:17 PM-9.0895911.0772+20.1668
1810:23 PM-1.7393113.4176+15.157
2410:29 PM2.9907313.5824+10.5916
2910:34 PM4.0282616.0574+12.0291

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.