Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 9:42 PM to 10:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 9:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.3485. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.8032.55414.91Sep 27, 9:42 PM ET10:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.8032.55414.91Sep 27, 9:42 PM ET10:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:42 PM ET12.3485
Projected value at 10:11 PM ET-1.65299
Actual value at 10:11 PM ET-6.5125
Projected change across the window-14.0015
Actual change across the window-18.861
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (9:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.516497 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (10:06 PM ET) with a gap of 9.97793. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (9:54 PM ET), a move of -3.04412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:43 PM6.8457312.7816+5.93589
69:48 PM7.5134216.5713+9.0579
129:54 PM2.489614.99265+2.50304
1810:00 PM-1.6228-8.21691-6.59411
2410:06 PM-1.48457-11.4625-9.97793
2910:11 PM-1.65299-6.5125-4.85951

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.