Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 9:39 PM to 10:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 9:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.1162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.8032.55414.91Sep 27, 9:39 PM ET10:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.8032.55414.91Sep 27, 9:39 PM ET10:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:39 PM ET15.1162
Projected value at 10:08 PM ET2.46143
Actual value at 10:08 PM ET-2.09706
Projected change across the window-12.6547
Actual change across the window-17.2132
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (9:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.439926 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (9:59 PM ET) with a gap of 12.2344. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (9:48 PM ET), a move of -3.04412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:40 PM5.5267716.1191+10.5923
69:45 PM5.4851712.6816+7.19644
129:51 PM4.17417-1.77794-5.95212
189:57 PM1.53997-10.1088-11.6488
2410:03 PM0.780904-8.48971-9.27061
2910:08 PM2.46143-2.09706-4.55849

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.