Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 9:35 PM to 10:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 9:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.0574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.8332.29714.43Sep 27, 9:35 PM ET10:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.8332.29714.43Sep 27, 9:35 PM ET10:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:35 PM ET16.0574
Projected value at 10:04 PM ET-0.431478
Actual value at 10:04 PM ET1.42132
Projected change across the window-16.4888
Actual change across the window-14.636
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (10:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.54346 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (9:48 PM ET) with a gap of 15.2254. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (9:40 PM ET), a move of -3.04412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:36 PM9.5854414.7426+5.15721
69:41 PM5.838412.72721-3.1112
129:47 PM4.9773-9.27426-14.2516
189:53 PM1.22778-10.7206-11.9484
249:59 PM-1.46448-3.85368-2.3892
2910:04 PM-0.4314781.42132+1.8528

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.