Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 8:44 PM to 9:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 8:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.51618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-40.91-16.268.382Sep 27, 8:44 PM ET9:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-40.91-16.268.382Sep 27, 8:44 PM ET9:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:44 PM ET7.51618
Projected value at 9:13 PM ET5.25875
Actual value at 9:13 PM ET8.89412
Projected change across the window-2.25742
Actual change across the window+1.37794
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.64 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (8:57 PM ET), where they sat 0.0161091 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:44 PM ET) with a gap of 51.7326. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (8:48 PM ET), a move of -6.06103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:45 PM-43.31674.62794+47.9447
68:50 PM-31.6559-17.9654+13.6905
128:56 PM-18.3823-15.1368+3.24556
189:02 PM-5.43594-6.55735-1.12142
249:08 PM1.442638.34191+6.89928
299:13 PM5.258758.89412+3.63536

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.