Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 8:42 PM to 9:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 1.58897. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.36-15.448.48Sep 27, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.36-15.448.48Sep 27, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:42 PM ET1.58897
Projected value at 9:11 PM ET4.93414
Actual value at 9:11 PM ET6.36029
Projected change across the window+3.34517
Actual change across the window+4.77132
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:11 PM ET), where they sat 1.42615 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:42 PM ET) with a gap of 42.8245. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:44 PM ET), a move of -6.06103. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:43 PM-41.9967-2.74044+39.2563
68:48 PM-32.0922-19.3574+12.7349
128:54 PM-18.4584-14.9074+3.55109
189:00 PM-5.03678-2.42279+2.61399
249:06 PM2.4448311.6919+9.24708
299:11 PM4.934146.36029+1.42615

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.