Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 8:40 PM to 9:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.80147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.33-12.778.796Sep 27, 8:40 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.33-12.778.796Sep 27, 8:40 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:40 PM ET-8.80147
Projected value at 9:09 PM ET3.10974
Actual value at 9:09 PM ET5.42574
Projected change across the window+11.9112
Actual change across the window+14.2272
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:09 PM ET), where they sat 2.316 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:40 PM ET) with a gap of 28.4259. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (8:41 PM ET), a move of -5.10441. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:41 PM-36.481-13.9059+22.5752
68:46 PM-28.5632-15.7581+12.8051
128:52 PM-17.9139-9.29191+8.62203
188:58 PM-7.166533.2375+10.404
249:04 PM0.58050610.461+9.88052
299:09 PM3.109745.42574+2.316

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.