Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 8:18 PM to 8:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 8:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.7522. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.346.21624.77Sep 27, 8:18 PM ET8:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.346.21624.77Sep 27, 8:18 PM ET8:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:18 PM ET10.7522
Projected value at 8:47 PM ET-3.19437
Actual value at 8:47 PM ET-13.0059
Projected change across the window-13.9466
Actual change across the window-23.7581
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (8:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.362787 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:18 PM ET) with a gap of 16.5067. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (8:30 PM ET), a move of -4.64853. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:19 PM22.33811.6919-10.6461
68:24 PM9.242276.36029-2.88197
128:30 PM0.534704-4.55-5.0847
188:36 PM-5.32487-13.9066-8.58175
248:42 PM-5.55937-12.1735-6.61416
298:47 PM-3.19437-13.0059-9.81151

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.