Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 7:24 PM to 7:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.56324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.856.77518.4Sep 27, 7:24 PM ET7:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.856.77518.4Sep 27, 7:24 PM ET7:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:24 PM ET4.56324
Projected value at 7:53 PM ET-1.10832
Actual value at 7:53 PM ET-6.41176
Projected change across the window-5.67155
Actual change across the window-10.975
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.52 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (7:43 PM ET), where they sat 0.0263349 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:24 PM ET) with a gap of 15.3987. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (7:34 PM ET), a move of -3.10515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:25 PM19.32724.89632-14.4308
67:30 PM12.108113.2493+1.14114
127:36 PM6.681094.27721-2.40389
187:42 PM2.25199-0.0566176-2.30861
247:48 PM-0.05853292.21324+2.27177
297:53 PM-1.10832-6.41176-5.30345

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.