Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 7:22 PM to 7:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.68088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.9176.2117.34Sep 27, 7:22 PM ET7:51 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.9176.2117.34Sep 27, 7:22 PM ET7:51 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:22 PM ET4.68088
Projected value at 7:51 PM ET-1.83572
Actual value at 7:51 PM ET-2.42279
Projected change across the window-6.5166
Actual change across the window-7.10368
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (7:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.227611 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:22 PM ET) with a gap of 12.1092. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (7:30 PM ET), a move of -3.10515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:23 PM18.28216.825-11.4571
67:28 PM13.835714.275+0.439251
127:34 PM7.419270.317647-7.10163
187:40 PM1.975743.25294+1.2772
247:46 PM-0.601511-1.575-0.973489
297:51 PM-1.83572-2.42279-0.587072

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.