Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 7:18 PM to 7:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.2493. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.1484.2613.67Sep 27, 7:18 PM ET7:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.1484.2613.67Sep 27, 7:18 PM ET7:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:18 PM ET13.2493
Projected value at 7:47 PM ET-0.418337
Actual value at 7:47 PM ET-2.66397
Projected change across the window-13.6676
Actual change across the window-15.9132
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:46 PM ET), where they sat 0.00458479 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (7:26 PM ET) with a gap of 7.47658. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (7:22 PM ET), a move of -3.10515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:19 PM11.659614.9309+3.27124
67:24 PM9.066154.27721-4.78894
127:30 PM5.02985-0.0566176-5.08647
187:36 PM1.482412.21324+0.730826
247:42 PM-0.533615-4.98309-4.44947
297:47 PM-0.418337-2.66397-2.24563

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.