Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 7:16 PM to 7:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 14.275. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.1873.93213.05Sep 27, 7:16 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:16 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.1873.93213.05Sep 27, 7:16 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:16 PM ET14.275
Projected value at 7:45 PM ET0.139498
Actual value at 7:45 PM ET-5.63529
Projected change across the window-14.1355
Actual change across the window-19.9103
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:41 PM ET), where they sat 0.358759 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (7:24 PM ET) with a gap of 9.80492. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (7:18 PM ET), a move of -3.10515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:17 PM10.804711.8331+1.02836
67:22 PM9.416670.317647-9.09902
127:28 PM6.553533.25294-3.30059
187:34 PM4.01362-1.575-5.58862
247:40 PM1.258670.116176-1.14249
297:45 PM0.139498-5.63529-5.77479

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.