Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 6:40 PM to 7:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.7596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.431.10216.63Sep 27, 6:40 PM ET7:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.431.10216.63Sep 27, 6:40 PM ET7:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:40 PM ET-10.7596
Projected value at 7:09 PM ET-0.551085
Actual value at 7:09 PM ET8.42059
Projected change across the window+10.2085
Actual change across the window+19.1801
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (6:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.360542 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (6:55 PM ET) with a gap of 19.961. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (6:47 PM ET), a move of +4.725. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:41 PM-14.7504-12.8213+1.92909
66:46 PM-8.97886-3.83897+5.13989
126:52 PM-6.3445110.7654+17.11
186:58 PM-4.432712.4551+16.8879
247:04 PM-0.51434214.8044+15.3188
297:09 PM-0.5510858.42059+8.97167

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.