Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 2:13 PM to 2:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 2:13 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -102.083. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-96-50.68-5.357Sep 23, 2:13 PM ET2:42 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-96-50.68-5.357Sep 23, 2:13 PM ET2:42 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:13 PM ET-102.083
Projected value at 2:42 PM ET0.626366
Actual value at 2:42 PM ET-38.7581
Projected change across the window+102.709
Actual change across the window+63.325
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.62 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:41 PM ET), where they sat 39.0894 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:13 PM ET) with a gap of 96.8224. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (2:16 PM ET), a move of +10.8618. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:14 PM-5.81416-93.9199-88.1057
62:19 PM-6.55061-56.7294-50.1788
122:25 PM-4.44255-48.3588-43.9163
182:31 PM-2.69487-68.0176-65.3228
242:37 PM0.529792-55.9235-56.4533
292:42 PM0.626366-38.7581-39.3845

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.