Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 2:00 PM to 2:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 40.0985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.378523.9347.47Sep 16, 2:00 PM ET2:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.378523.9347.47Sep 16, 2:00 PM ET2:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:00 PM ET40.0985
Projected value at 2:29 PM ET1.89696
Actual value at 2:29 PM ET5.02426
Projected change across the window-38.2016
Actual change across the window-35.0743
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (2:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.136798 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (2:07 PM ET) with a gap of 24.0725. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (2:12 PM ET), a move of -7.94853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:01 PM25.189442.0221+16.8326
62:06 PM27.633948.8404+21.2066
122:12 PM23.00634.675+11.669
182:18 PM15.01916.60221-8.41688
242:24 PM6.917051.21544-5.70161
292:29 PM1.896965.02426+3.12731

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.