Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 1:58 PM to 2:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 42.7213. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.378523.9347.47Sep 16, 1:58 PM ET2:27 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.378523.9347.47Sep 16, 1:58 PM ET2:27 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:58 PM ET42.7213
Projected value at 2:27 PM ET1.71695
Actual value at 2:27 PM ET5.03235
Projected change across the window-41.0044
Actual change across the window-37.689
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (2:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.105908 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:03 PM ET) with a gap of 34.931. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (2:08 PM ET), a move of -7.94853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:59 PM11.887343.4375+31.5502
62:04 PM15.388850.1934+34.8046
122:10 PM13.345723.7919+10.4462
182:16 PM10.17930.905882-9.2734
242:22 PM5.302925.40882+0.105908
292:27 PM1.716955.03235+3.3154

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.