Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:53 AM to 11:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -1.04412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.923.2510.42Sep 16, 10:53 AM ET11:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.923.2510.42Sep 16, 10:53 AM ET11:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:53 AM ET-1.04412
Projected value at 11:22 AM ET1.15988
Actual value at 11:22 AM ET-3.93456
Projected change across the window+2.204
Actual change across the window-2.89044
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:14 AM ET), where they sat 0.175827 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:56 AM ET) with a gap of 8.41006. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:17 AM ET), a move of -1.875. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:54 AM6.192180.0117647-6.18041
610:59 AM11.16835.35147-5.81687
1211:05 AM8.830047.87794-0.952103
1811:11 AM4.376423.50588-0.870535
2411:17 AM1.65407-1.37132-3.02539
2911:22 AM1.15988-3.93456-5.09444

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.