Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:33 AM to 11:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.71765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.1-3.6262.848Sep 16, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.1-3.6262.848Sep 16, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:33 AM ET3.71765
Projected value at 11:02 AM ET-0.351369
Actual value at 11:02 AM ET0.450735
Projected change across the window-4.06902
Actual change across the window-3.26691
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.25×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.25 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (10:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.110081 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:35 AM ET) with a gap of 9.13068. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (11:01 AM ET), a move of +3.85441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:34 AM-6.189642.74853+8.93817
610:39 AM-9.32689-4.18897+5.13792
1210:45 AM-7.64807-6.32279+1.32528
1810:51 AM-7.49011-7.11397+0.376137
2410:57 AM-3.43909-10.6154-7.17635
2911:02 AM-0.3513690.450735+0.802104

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.